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Wednesday, 23 September 2026 · Pan-African Newsroom
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Africa’s Trade Still Looks Outward. A New AU-World Bank Report Says Regional Integration Must Go Deeper

A new African Union and World Bank report says 85% of Africa’s trade still flows outside the continent, even as intra-African trade proves more manufacturing-intensive and potentially more transformative.

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Africa has spent years building the legal architecture for a larger continental market. A new African Union and World Bank report argues that the next challenge is more practical: making the systems that businesses use every day work across borders.

Integrating Africa: From Threads to Hubs, formally launched on 28 August by the African Union, World Bank and UN Economic Commission for Africa, finds that 85% of Africa’s trade still flows outside the continent. Yet more than 60% of intra-African trade consists of manufactured goods, a composition that gives regional commerce greater potential to support industrialisation, value addition and firm growth.

The contrast is central to the report’s argument. Africa is not disconnected from world trade. Its weakness is that regional production systems remain too fragmented to turn market access into deeper economic transformation.

Regional trade carries more manufacturing value

Commodity exports still dominate much of Africa’s trade with the rest of the world. Regional trade, by contrast, is more diversified and more manufacturing-intensive. That matters because manufactured and processed goods generally carry stronger links to jobs, supplier networks, logistics, services and local value chains than raw exports alone.

The report argues that regional markets can give African firms the scale needed to specialise, invest and grow. It points to opportunities to connect mineral extraction with processing and manufacturing, agriculture with regional food industries, renewable energy with industrial hubs, and digital, financial, transport and professional services with firms operating across several countries.

This makes regional integration an industrial policy issue as much as a trade policy issue. The African Continental Free Trade Area has lowered one class of barriers, but the ability of firms to use a larger market depends on whether customs systems, transport networks, product standards, payments, energy systems and digital platforms can function across national boundaries.

Why tariff cuts are not enough

The World Bank says many of the remaining costs sit behind the border. Goods can face repeated inspections. Customs systems do not always exchange data. Product standards and professional qualifications differ. Transport and logistics services remain restricted in some markets. Power and payment systems are still largely organised nationally.

For businesses, particularly smaller firms, those frictions can matter as much as formal tariffs. A company may technically have access to another African market but still face costly delays, duplicated documentation, incompatible standards, difficult payments or unreliable transport connections.

The report therefore shifts the integration debate from agreements signed to systems connected. It says domestic reforms in customs administration, logistics regulation, transport competition, services, inspections, standards and infrastructure can unlock a significant share of the gains without waiting for every regional institution to move at the same speed.

Four priorities for turning markets into production hubs

The report organises its recommendations around four priorities. The first is building regional production networks that link national industrial strategies to regional sourcing and demand. The second is reducing trade frictions and making customs, standards, payments, transport, energy and digital systems more interoperable.

The third is deepening and enforcing regional agreements. The authors argue that specific, binding commitments on services, investment, trade facilitation, transparency, mutual recognition and dispute settlement are more likely to produce measurable integration than broad political commitments alone.

The fourth is investment in regional public goods. Transport corridors, power pools, digital networks, payment systems, disease surveillance and climate resilience all generate benefits that cross borders, but they also require coordination over who finances, operates and governs them.

AfCFTA’s next test is implementation

The report arrives as African governments continue to implement the AfCFTA alongside other continental initiatives including the Single African Air Transport Market, the Free Movement of Persons Protocol and the Pan-African Payment and Settlement System.

Its message is that regional and global integration need not compete. Stronger African production networks can help firms build capabilities and reach the scale required to compete internationally. The question is whether governments can reduce the economic distance between neighbouring markets quickly enough for businesses to take advantage.

For Africa’s industrialisation agenda, the 85% external-trade figure is therefore not simply a measure of dependence. It is also a measure of how much regional economic potential remains unused.

Sources


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